Lawrence Levy, executive dean of Hofstra University’s National Center for Suburban Studies, noted Long Island isn't viewed as a critical battleground in presidential elections because New York is such a Democratic state. "If it's on crime, if it's on immigration, voters will tend to come out." "If it's on guns and abortion, common wisdom tells you that this is something that Biden will do better on," Malone said.
"The question that Biden and Republicans have is, what issues are going to drive the 2024 election?" said Christopher Malone, a political scientist at Farmingdale State College. Supreme Court appointees voted to overturn federal abortion protections last year, and that he still is embroiled in a swirl of contentious legal cases. They said such voters may be a tough audience for Trump given that his three U.S. Political experts say in a 2024 race, Trump would face challenges in expanding his appeal among moderate swing voters, particularly the large number of women in the bloc.
Trump, 76, who announced his reelection bid in November and remains the GOP front-runner in national polls, beat Biden by only 232 votes in Suffolk County. WASHINGTON - The 2024 presidential campaign season may be shaping up to be a rematch of the 2020 race between Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump but the political landscape on Long Island for both candidates would be far from the same, political analysts said.īiden, who announced his reelection bid on April 25, won Nassau County by nearly 10 percentage points over Trump in 2020.īut heading into 2024, Biden would confront a county where Republicans have taken the edge in two consecutive elections, helped significantly by voter concerns about crime.
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